Question

When will a currently unknown social media app reach one billion downloads worldwide?

18 comments18

Total Forecasters90

Community Prediction2025-08-24 (2024-07-26 - 2026-09-14)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2030-01-01

...

2024-07-26 12:37

2025-08-24 19:50

2026-09-14 23:42

4.4%

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Authors:

shibboleth

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Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Apple reveals the most downloaded apps and games of the year - with iPhone users shunning TikTok in favour of bargain shopping apps

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

Temu is the most-downloaded app on the US App Store in 2024

TechCrunch•Dec 17, 2024

TikTok ban in numbers: The rise and impending fall of the world’s most controversial app

Independent•Dec 17, 2024

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0.1%

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