Question
When will a currently unknown social media app reach one billion downloads worldwide?
Total Forecasters90
Community Prediction2025-08-31 (2024-07-31 - 2026-09-29)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Jul 2024 | — |
| median | Aug 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | Sep 2026 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2030-01-01 | 4.6% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Mar 27, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2029
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 27, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2029
