🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will the next US recession turn into a depression?

Resolved :No8%
26
40
Total Forecasters175
Community Prediction8% (3% - 15%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 8%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
21.5
Community Peer Score
18.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
AABoyles
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economy & Business
United States
Real gross domestic product
Great Depression in the US
Great Depression

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