Question

By 2030, will C. elegans be uploaded to the satisfaction of top computational neuroscientists?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters112

Community Prediction30% (23% - 40%)

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50%

community: 30%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

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Natural Sciences

Caenorhabditis elegans

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Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?

59%

If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?

177k

When will the human brain first be successfully emulated in full?

2074-08-06

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Natural Sciences

Caenorhabditis elegans

Google has unveiled a new quantum computer chip that cracks a '30-year challenge in the field'

Business Insider•Dec 11, 2024

Elon Musk's brain-implant firm Neuralink did its first tests in 2024

New Scientist•Dec 13, 2024

With Willow, Will Knowledge Takes on a Life of Its Own?

Psychology Today•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?

59%

If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?

177k

When will the human brain first be successfully emulated in full?

2074-08-06

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By 2030, will C. elegans be uploaded to the satisfaction of top computational neuroscientists?

Make a Prediction

Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?

If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?

When will the human brain first be successfully emulated in full?

Comments

Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?

If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?

When will the human brain first be successfully emulated in full?

Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?

If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?

When will the human brain first be successfully emulated in full?

Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?

If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?

When will the human brain first be successfully emulated in full?