🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

If Donald Trump is reelected president, what will be the yearly CO2 emissions per capita in the US in 2024?

Resolved :Ambiguous15.1
3
3
Total Forecasters20
Community Prediction15.1 (14.3 - 15.8)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
<10
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>20
...
...
...
...
...
0.1%
14.31
15.14
15.83
0.1%

What was the final result?Ambiguous

Authors:
tetraspace
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
Environment & Climate
2016-2025 Leaderboard
United States
Donald Trump
List of countries by carbon dioxide emissions

Comments

? comments