Question

Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?

98 comments98

Total Forecasters387

Community Prediction50%

Make a Prediction

community: 50%

median 50.0%mean 50.1%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

AI Safety

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Philosophy

Fail-safes in nanotechnology

Superintelligence

Pharmacology

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

68%

Will transformative AI result in a singleton (as opposed to a multipolar world)?

45%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

37%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

AI Safety

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Philosophy

Fail-safes in nanotechnology

Superintelligence

Pharmacology

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

68%

Will transformative AI result in a singleton (as opposed to a multipolar world)?

45%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

37%

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Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?

Make a Prediction

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Will transformative AI result in a singleton (as opposed to a multipolar world)?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

Comments

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Will transformative AI result in a singleton (as opposed to a multipolar world)?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Will transformative AI result in a singleton (as opposed to a multipolar world)?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Will transformative AI result in a singleton (as opposed to a multipolar world)?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?