Question

What will be the total damage incurred by climate change in the 21st century as measured by its impact on GDP?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters18

Community Prediction10.9

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<-10

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>50

...

7.7%

2.938

10.91

28.4

15.8%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Sociology

Geology

Gross domestic product

Environmental science

Climatology

Climate change denial

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

What will the product of the gross world product with the IPCC's best estimate of TCR be in 2100?

18.3

What will the product of the global mean temperature anomaly with the IPCC's best estimate of TCR be in 2100?

3.91

What will be the EU's GDP in 2025 in trillions of dollars?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Sociology

Geology

Gross domestic product

Environmental science

Climatology

Climate change denial

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

For 3rd straight year, no improvement in Earth's projected warming

Independent•Nov 14, 2024

For 3rd straight year, no improvement in Earth’s projected warming

Associated Press•Nov 14, 2024

Melting Glaciers Are Causing Billions of Dollars of Damage

Scientific American•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the product of the gross world product with the IPCC's best estimate of TCR be in 2100?

18.3

What will the product of the global mean temperature anomaly with the IPCC's best estimate of TCR be in 2100?

3.91