Question

Will large scale solar radiation management be used to mitigate the effects of climate change in the 21st century?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters47

Community Prediction45% (30% - 50%)

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50%

community: 45%

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Environmental science

Solar physics

Stratospheric aerosol injection

Physics

Geology

Oceanography

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Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

Will more than 34 countries have committed to a stringent anti-solar-geoengineering pact before 2026?

4.7%

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Environmental science

Solar physics

Stratospheric aerosol injection

Physics

Geology

Oceanography

The most encouraging climate solutions and green technologies of 2024

New Scientist•Dec 17, 2024

Carbon-removal tech startups like Equatic and Climeworks look to the future of sustainability

Business Insider•Dec 20, 2024

Is solar geoengineering research having its moment?

New Scientist•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

Will more than 34 countries have committed to a stringent anti-solar-geoengineering pact before 2026?

4.7%