Question

Will large scale solar radiation management be used to mitigate the effects of climate change in the 21st century?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters47

Community Prediction45%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 45%

median 45.0%mean 43.7%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Environmental science

Solar physics

Stratospheric aerosol injection

Physics

Geology

Oceanography

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

Will more than 34 countries have committed to a stringent anti-solar-geoengineering pact before 2026?

4.7%

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Environmental science

Solar physics

Stratospheric aerosol injection

Physics

Geology

Oceanography

Reducing Emissions to Lessen Climate Change Would Yield Dramatic Health Benefits by 2030 – Climate Change: Vital Signs of the Planet

•Nov 14, 2024

Climate change mitigation: reducing emissions

•Nov 14, 2024

Can we slow or even reverse global warming?

•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

Will more than 34 countries have committed to a stringent anti-solar-geoengineering pact before 2026?

4.7%