Question

Will large scale solar radiation management be used to mitigate the effects of climate change in the 21st century?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters47

Community Prediction45% (30% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 45%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Jun 5, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2101

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2101

Environment & Climate

Environmental science

Solar physics

Stratospheric aerosol injection

Physics

Geology

Oceanography

Climate change fanatics want to bankrupt the entire world for little to no reward

New York Post•Jan 20, 2025

Solar geoengineering is here, whether we like it or not

Canary•Jan 23, 2025

The world is on track for between 1.9 and 3.7°C of warming by 2100

New Scientist•Jan 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%

Will more than 34 countries have committed to a stringent anti-solar-geoengineering pact before 2026?

4.7%

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Jun 5, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2101

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2101

Environment & Climate

Environmental science

Solar physics

Stratospheric aerosol injection

Physics

Geology

Oceanography

Climate change fanatics want to bankrupt the entire world for little to no reward

New York Post•Jan 20, 2025

Solar geoengineering is here, whether we like it or not

Canary•Jan 23, 2025

The world is on track for between 1.9 and 3.7°C of warming by 2100

New Scientist•Jan 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%

Will more than 34 countries have committed to a stringent anti-solar-geoengineering pact before 2026?

4.7%