Question

How many countries will, at least in some form, decriminalize possession of all Schedule I drugs for personal use by 2070?

16 comments16

Total Forecasters29

Community Prediction56

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

0.0%

30.24

55.98

81.46

Authors:

alexlyzhov

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Law

United Nations

Uruguay

Drug Enforcement Administration

Law

Medicine

List of Schedule I drugs (US)

Pharmacology

How many US states will decriminalize psilocybin on January 1, 2027?

6.35

How many states will have legalized medical or recreational use of psilocybin before 2045?

24.2

Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2025?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

alexlyzhov

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Law

United Nations

Uruguay

Drug Enforcement Administration

Law

Medicine

List of Schedule I drugs (US)

Pharmacology

Drug overdoses falling in 40 states for first time in decades - but there's a morbid theory why

Daily Mail•Oct 8, 2024

Nixon’s “War on Drugs” Was a Sham

CounterPunch•Oct 8, 2024

DEA could reclassify marijuana to a less restrictive category – a drug policy expert weighs the pros and cons

The Conversation•Oct 9, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many US states will decriminalize psilocybin on January 1, 2027?

6.35

How many states will have legalized medical or recreational use of psilocybin before 2045?

24.2

Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2025?

10%