8
9 forecasters

Who will become the next United Nations Secretary General?

Michelle Bachelet
47.9%
Rebeca Grynspan
22.8%
Rafael Grossi
17.6%
Other
10.6%
Macky Sall
1.2%
Top Key Factors
Senegal distances itself from AU support for Macky Sall at the UNafricanews.comMar 27, 2026
africanews.com logo
Decreases Likelihood for Macky Sall
Rebeca Grynspan se toma una licencia para su campaña a secretaria general de la ONUswissinfo.chFeb 10, 2026
swissinfo.ch logo
Increases Likelihood for Rebeca Grynspan
Grossi Holds On to His IAEA Job While Running for UN Boss - PassBluepassblue.comMar 19, 2026
passblue.com logo
Decreases Likelihood for Rafael Grossi
New Chile president withdraws support for Bachelet UN chief bidrfi.frMar 24, 2026
rfi.fr logo
Decreases Likelihood for Michelle Bachelet
Push for first female UNSG in 80 years
Increases Likelihood for Rebeca Grynspan
Push for first female UNSG in 80 years
Increases Likelihood for Michelle Bachelet