Question
How much will GiveWell estimate as the cost equivalent to saving a life at the end of 2031?
Total Forecasters24
Community Prediction480 (273 - 876)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <10 | 0.4% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 272.7 | — |
| median | 479.9 | — |
| upper 75% | 876 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >50k | 0.3% | — |
Authors:
Opened:May 6, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2032
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:May 6, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2032
