MetaculusM

Question

What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?

15

Total Forecasters51

Community Prediction7.3

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

<5

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

...

...

...

6.5%

6.549

7.303

7.86

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economist Intelligence Unit

Democracy Index

Democrats' pessimism about party's future is highest in 8 years: poll

FOX News•Nov 23, 2024

Amazon Alexa device makes eerie doomsday prediction about the end of America

Daily Mail•Nov 26, 2024

Algorithms Are Coming for Democracy—but It's Not All Bad

Wired•Nov 26, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economist Intelligence Unit

Democracy Index

Democrats' pessimism about party's future is highest in 8 years: poll

FOX News•Nov 23, 2024

Amazon Alexa device makes eerie doomsday prediction about the end of America

Daily Mail•Nov 26, 2024

Algorithms Are Coming for Democracy—but It's Not All Bad

Wired•Nov 26, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch