M

Question

What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?

Total Forecasters54
Community Prediction7.2 (6.44 - 7.78)

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CDF

weight:
Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<56.8%
Quartiles
lower 25%6.439
median7.2
upper 75%7.775
Opened:May 5, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2033
Scheduled resolution:Aug 1, 2040

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