Question
When will be the next "Great Power" war?
Resolved :Apr 21, 20242035-07-05Total Forecasters154
Community Prediction2035-07-05 (2026-01-19 - 2058-01-13)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2026 | — |
| median | 2035 | — |
| upper 75% | 2058 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2199-12-28 | 5.6% | — |
What was the final result?Apr 21, 2024
Community Baseline Score
1.7
Community Peer Score
1.1
Authors:
Opened:May 29, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2200
Resolves:Jan 1, 2200
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:May 29, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2200
Resolves:Jan 1, 2200