Question
When will SpaceX's Starship carry a human to orbit?
Total Forecasters201
Community Prediction
Jul 2027
(Jul 2026 - Oct 2028)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Jul 2026 | — |
| median | Jul 2027 | — |
| upper 75% | Oct 2028 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >205087680000% | 2.1% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jun 8, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 9, 2020
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Jun 8, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 9, 2020