Question
When will SpaceX's Starship carry a human to orbit?
Total Forecasters200
Community Prediction2027-07-10 (2026-07-16 - 2028-09-13)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Jul 2026 | — |
| median | Jul 2027 | — |
| upper 75% | Sep 2028 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2034-12-28 | 2.2% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jun 8, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 8, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
