Question

Will US life expectancy at birth for both sexes fall below 75 years before 2040?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters115

Community Prediction25% (15% - 32%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Jul 3, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2040

World Health Organization

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

America Approaches 'Demographic Cliff'

Newsweek•Jan 21, 2025

Scientists pinpoint exactly how long you'll live after a dementia diagnosis - and it's good news for women

Daily Mail•Jan 21, 2025

Warning Issued on 'Population Collapse' by 2100

Newsweek•Jan 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the US life expectancy at birth exceed 78.8?

2031-02-15

When will any country have a life expectancy at birth for both sexes of at least 100 years?

2062-04-23

When will life expectancy at birth for both sexes reach 60 years in all countries?

2037-07-21

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Jul 3, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2040

World Health Organization

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

America Approaches 'Demographic Cliff'

Newsweek•Jan 21, 2025

Scientists pinpoint exactly how long you'll live after a dementia diagnosis - and it's good news for women

Daily Mail•Jan 21, 2025

Warning Issued on 'Population Collapse' by 2100

Newsweek•Jan 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the US life expectancy at birth exceed 78.8?

2031-02-15

When will any country have a life expectancy at birth for both sexes of at least 100 years?

2062-04-23

When will life expectancy at birth for both sexes reach 60 years in all countries?

2037-07-21