Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

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Question

Will US life expectancy at birth for both sexes fall below 75 years before 2040?

22
17
Total Forecasters115
Community Prediction25% (15% - 32%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 25%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Health & Pandemics
Social Sciences
United Nations
United States
World Health Organization
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

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