Question

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters38

Community Prediction32%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 32%

median 32.0%mean 34.1%

Authors:

mdickens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Malaria Consortium

Against Malaria Foundation

Helen Keller International

Deworm the World Initiative

How much will GiveWell estimate as the cost equivalent to saving a life at the end of 2031?

480

How much money will GiveWell move in 2031?

273M

In 2027, what will the cost-effectiveness of the Against Malaria Foundation be, according to GiveWell?

4.89k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

mdickens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Malaria Consortium

Against Malaria Foundation

Helen Keller International

Deworm the World Initiative

Booker prize 2024: and the winner is... you, the reader

Guardian•Nov 10, 2024

COP29: Annual Climate Finance To Grow From $100 Billion To $1 Trillion

Forbes•Nov 11, 2024

Cop29: which climate finance ideas are most likely to work?

Guardian•Nov 11, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How much will GiveWell estimate as the cost equivalent to saving a life at the end of 2031?

480

How much money will GiveWell move in 2031?

273M

In 2027, what will the cost-effectiveness of the Against Malaria Foundation be, according to GiveWell?

4.89k