Question

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters18

Community Prediction129

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<100

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>180

...

1.4%

122.9

128.6

134.8

0.5%

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

70%

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?

35%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Bureau Of Prisons Under A Trump Administration

Forbes•Nov 7, 2024

Labour’s economic success lies in reshaping a doom-laden Treasury mindset

Guardian•Nov 10, 2024

Voters around the world wish a plague on all incumbents. Labour can avoid that fate | Polly Toynbee

Guardian•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

70%

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?

35%