Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

Forecast and Share Your Reasoning With GiveWell by January 1st — $3,500 in prizes

There's still time to compete for $3,500 in commenting prizes: Learn how you can help GiveWell help others.

M

Question

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

2
3
Total Forecasters18
Community Prediction129 (123 - 135)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
<100
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>180
...
...
...
...
...
1.4%
122.9
128.6
134.8
0.5%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
tetraspace
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Politics
World Prison Brief
Labour Party (UK)
UK general election
Wales
England

Comments

? comments