Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

If Conservatives win the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

Resolved :Annulled135
4
3
Total Forecasters16
Community Prediction135 (130 - 141)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<100
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>180
...
...
...
...
...
1.1%
129.6
135.1
140.5
0.5%

What was the final result?Annulled

Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
tetraspace
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
England and Wales
World Prison Brief
UK general election
Conservative Party (UK)

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