Question

If Conservatives win the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

Resolved :Annulled

3 comments3

Total Forecasters16

Community Prediction135

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<100

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>180

...

1.1%

129.6

135.1

140.5

0.5%

What was the final result?Annulled

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Conservative Party (UK)

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

129

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Conservative Party (UK)

Tories overtake Labour in first poll since Badenoch victory

Spectator (UK)•Nov 12, 2024

Hundreds of English schools still at risk from crumbling concrete

Guardian•Nov 13, 2024

Council tax bills could rise by 5% after Labour keeps cap in place

Guardian•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

129

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%