Question

If Conservatives win the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

Resolved :Annulled

3 comments3

Total Forecasters16

Community Prediction135

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<100

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>180

...

1.1%

129.6

135.1

140.5

0.5%

What was the final result?Annulled

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Conservative Party (UK)

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

129

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Conservative Party (UK)

Mass Migration Drives Record Population Increase in the UK

Breitbart•Oct 8, 2024

James Cleverly emerges as frontrunner in UK Conservatives leadership race

Al Jazeera•Oct 9, 2024

We have no idea how many people are living in Britain

Spectator (UK)•Oct 9, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

129

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%