Question

Will at least one US state secede from the Union before 31 December, 2030?

15 comments15

Total Forecasters137

Community Prediction2% (1% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 2%

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Jun 25, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2030

Trump Threatens Economic Pressure to Force Canada Into U.S. Union

Townhall•Jan 25, 2025

The Country of California? Could the state with the largest economy leave the union?

USA Today•Jan 25, 2025

CA Ballot Initiative to Secede the Union Cleared to Gather Signatures

Breitbart•Jan 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will at least one US state secede by 2070?

If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?

Will at least part of Canada become a U.S. state before January 21, 2033?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Jun 25, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2030

Trump Threatens Economic Pressure to Force Canada Into U.S. Union

Townhall•Jan 25, 2025

The Country of California? Could the state with the largest economy leave the union?

USA Today•Jan 25, 2025

CA Ballot Initiative to Secede the Union Cleared to Gather Signatures

Breitbart•Jan 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch