Question

What percentage of vehicles on US roads will be fully electric by 2030?

40 comments40

Total Forecasters113

Community Prediction9.6 (5.67 - 14.7)

Make a Prediction

weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

5.671

9.602

14.73

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Gaia

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Technology

Edison Electric Institute

Fiat Chrysler Automobiles

Despite Tesla’s Wild Stock Surge, Musk Turns To Discounts To Juice Sliding Sales

Forbes•Dec 19, 2024

Electric Vehicle Boom Is (Predictably) Out of Gas

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Why Trump's looming battle with California over EVs will affect the entire auto industry

Business Insider•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

25%

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

7.84

What percentage of new vehicle production will be electric in the US in 2027?

28.7

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Gaia

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Technology

Edison Electric Institute

Fiat Chrysler Automobiles

Despite Tesla’s Wild Stock Surge, Musk Turns To Discounts To Juice Sliding Sales

Forbes•Dec 19, 2024

Electric Vehicle Boom Is (Predictably) Out of Gas

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Why Trump's looming battle with California over EVs will affect the entire auto industry

Business Insider•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

25%

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

7.84

What percentage of new vehicle production will be electric in the US in 2027?

28.7

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

What percentage of vehicles on US roads will be fully electric by 2030?

Make a Prediction

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What percentage of new vehicle production will be electric in the US in 2027?

Comments

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What percentage of new vehicle production will be electric in the US in 2027?

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What percentage of new vehicle production will be electric in the US in 2027?

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What percentage of new vehicle production will be electric in the US in 2027?