Question
Amplified forecasting: What will Buck's informed prediction of compute used in the largest ML training run before 2030 be?
Resolved :Ambiguous12.3Total Forecasters23
Community Prediction12.3 (9.04 - 16.4)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 9.045 | — |
| median | 12.3 | — |
| upper 75% | 16.41 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >30 | 6.2% | — |
What was the final result?Ambiguous
Authors:
Opened:Jun 30, 2020
Closes:Jul 8, 2020
Resolves:Jul 26, 2020
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 30, 2020
Closes:Jul 8, 2020
Resolves:Jul 26, 2020
