Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Ghislaine Maxwell be alive on 1 January 2021?

Resolved :Yes98%
Total Forecasters252
Community Prediction98% (95% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 98%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
87.9
Community Peer Score
14.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:

Comments

? comments