Question

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters45

Community Prediction2.15

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

0.5549

2.148

19.24

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

Biotechnology

Cryopreservation

Medicine

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

50%

While cryopreservation using fixatives is available, how many times more likely will someone be to be revived by 2200 if they are cryopreserved using fixatives than without?

8.53

Comments

? comments

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

Biotechnology

Cryopreservation

Medicine

A Roadmap to AI Utopia

Time•Nov 12, 2024

New method could increase fertility for women undergoing IVF and egg freezing

New York Post•Nov 12, 2024

Bone Marrow Donors Can Be Hard to Find. One Company Is Turning to Cadavers

Wired•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

50%

While cryopreservation using fixatives is available, how many times more likely will someone be to be revived by 2200 if they are cryopreserved using fixatives than without?

8.53