Question

Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters136

Community Prediction90% (80% - 97%)

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50%

community: 90%

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Authors:

Natalia_Mendonca

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Social Sciences

Technology

Longevity escape velocity

AI 'godfather' Geoffrey Hinton says AI will one day unite nations against a common existential threat

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

OpenAI co-founder Ilya Sutskever believes superintelligent AI will be ‘unpredictable’

TechCrunch•Dec 14, 2024

How Human Hubris Beats Artificial Intelligence

Psychology Today•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

2056-04-15

Will longevity escape velocity follow the development of effective life extending therapies?

43%

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

44%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Natalia_Mendonca

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Social Sciences

Technology

Longevity escape velocity

AI 'godfather' Geoffrey Hinton says AI will one day unite nations against a common existential threat

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

OpenAI co-founder Ilya Sutskever believes superintelligent AI will be ‘unpredictable’

TechCrunch•Dec 14, 2024

How Human Hubris Beats Artificial Intelligence

Psychology Today•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

2056-04-15

Will longevity escape velocity follow the development of effective life extending therapies?

43%

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

44%

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Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?

Make a Prediction

When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

Will longevity escape velocity follow the development of effective life extending therapies?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

Comments

When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

Will longevity escape velocity follow the development of effective life extending therapies?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

Will longevity escape velocity follow the development of effective life extending therapies?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

Will longevity escape velocity follow the development of effective life extending therapies?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?