📖 The ACX 2025 Prediction Contest Is Open!

The Astral Codex Ten Prediction Contest is back with an expanded $10,000 prize pool! Test your forecasting skills across geopolitics, technology, economics, and more with questions curated by Scott Alexander. Make your predictions by January 31 to compete.

🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?

28
9
Total Forecasters136
Community Prediction90% (80% - 98%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 90%
Authors:
Natalia_Mendonca
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AGI Outcomes
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Social Sciences
Technology
Longevity escape velocity
Gerontology
Biology
Ethics
Philosophy
Superintelligence
Medicine

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