Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

Will the median prediction on this question fall in range [1-48]% OR [95-99]%?

Resolved :Yes99%
-18
122
Total Forecasters173
Community Prediction99% (95% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
98.3
Community Peer Score
14.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Alexander230
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Metaculus
2020 Leaderboard
Keynesian beauty contest

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