Question

How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake from 2020 - 2029?

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Total Forecasters51

Community Prediction74.3k

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45.37k

74.25k

134.6k

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

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Natural Sciences

2011 Tōhoku earthquake and tsunami

Haiti

US Geological Survey

Will there be a tsunami that kills at least 50,000 people before 2030?

14%

If the SF Bay Area is struck with magnitude 7.8 or higher earthquake by 2052, how many people will die?

587

What will be the rate of people (per 100,000) affected by natural disasters in the following years?

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Natural Sciences

2011 Tōhoku earthquake and tsunami

Haiti

US Geological Survey

Powerful 5.7-magnitude earthquake strikes in sea off Indonesia

Daily Mail•Oct 21, 2024

War and Peace

•Oct 23, 2024

Newly discovered fault line shows why NYC shook harder than New Jersey epicenter during April earthquake

New York Post•Oct 25, 2024

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Will there be a tsunami that kills at least 50,000 people before 2030?

14%

If the SF Bay Area is struck with magnitude 7.8 or higher earthquake by 2052, how many people will die?

587