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Question

As of July 1, 2022, when will top forecasters expect the first Artificial General Intelligence to be developed and demonstrated?

Resolved :Jun 2, 2030
Total Forecasters81
Community Prediction2035-05-31

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<2023-07-21
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2110-01-04
...
...
...
...
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3.4%
2031-05-16 02:51
2035-05-31 22:36
2040-10-31 10:17
1.1%

What was the final result?Jun 2, 2030

Community Baseline Score
26.2
Community Peer Score
16.5

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