Question

[Short Fuse] Will the UK's Intelligence and Security committee publish the report into Russian interference by the end of July?

Resolved :Yes97%

11 comments11

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction97% (94% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 97%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

19.8

Community Peer Score

1.6

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

2020 Leaderboard

Russian interference in the 2016 Brexit referendum

Dominic Grieve

Chris Grayling

General election

Conservative Party (UK)

Julian Lewis

Boris Johnson

Advice ignored by ministers could have blocked Prince Andrew ‘spy’

Guardian•Dec 15, 2024

MPs consider naming Chinese ‘spy’ linked to Prince Andrew

Guardian•Dec 16, 2024

Pressure grows on government as MPs demand answers on Prince Andrew ‘Chinese spy’

Independent•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025?

0.9%

Will there be legal consequences for Peter Murrell's involvement in the Scottish National Party's financial irregularities?

77%

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

0.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

2020 Leaderboard

Russian interference in the 2016 Brexit referendum

Dominic Grieve

Chris Grayling

General election

Conservative Party (UK)

Julian Lewis

Boris Johnson

Advice ignored by ministers could have blocked Prince Andrew ‘spy’

Guardian•Dec 15, 2024

MPs consider naming Chinese ‘spy’ linked to Prince Andrew

Guardian•Dec 16, 2024

Pressure grows on government as MPs demand answers on Prince Andrew ‘Chinese spy’

Independent•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025?

0.9%

Will there be legal consequences for Peter Murrell's involvement in the Scottish National Party's financial irregularities?

77%

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

0.5%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

[Short Fuse] Will the UK's Intelligence and Security committee publish the report into Russian interference by the end of July?

Make a Prediction

Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025?

Will there be legal consequences for Peter Murrell's involvement in the Scottish National Party's financial irregularities?

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

Comments

Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025?

Will there be legal consequences for Peter Murrell's involvement in the Scottish National Party's financial irregularities?

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025?

Will there be legal consequences for Peter Murrell's involvement in the Scottish National Party's financial irregularities?

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025?

Will there be legal consequences for Peter Murrell's involvement in the Scottish National Party's financial irregularities?

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?