Question

[Short Fuse] Will the UK's Intelligence and Security committee publish the report into Russian interference by the end of July?

Resolved :Yes

11 comments11

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction97%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 97%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

19.8

Community Peer Score

1.6

median 97.0%mean 94.9%

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Russian interference in the 2016 Brexit referendum

Dominic Grieve

Chris Grayling

General election

Conservative Party (UK)

Julian Lewis

Boris Johnson

Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025?

Will there be legal consequences for Peter Murrell's involvement in the Scottish National Party's financial irregularities?

77%

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Russian interference in the 2016 Brexit referendum

Dominic Grieve

Chris Grayling

General election

Conservative Party (UK)

Julian Lewis

Boris Johnson

‘Minuscule’ amount of novichok could have been fatal, scientist tells inquiry

Guardian•Nov 14, 2024

Leaks expose secret British military cell plotting to ‘keep Ukraine fighting’

Grayzone•Nov 17, 2024

Post Office inquiry: hopes for delivery of good news dwindles

Guardian•Nov 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025?

Will there be legal consequences for Peter Murrell's involvement in the Scottish National Party's financial irregularities?

77%