Question

How many parameters will GPT-4 have (if it is released), in billions of parameters?

Resolved :Ambiguous3.6k

50 comments50

Total Forecasters110

Community Prediction3.6k (1.44k - 8.91k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<175

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>50k

...

2.3%

1.445k

3.596k

8.909k

2.4%

What was the final result?Ambiguous

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Artificial Intelligence

2016-2025 Leaderboard

OpenAI 2024 event: How to watch new ChatGPT product reveals and demos

TechCrunch•Dec 17, 2024

OpenAI 2024 event: How to watch new ChatGPT product reveals and demos

TechCrunch•Dec 19, 2024

You can now call 1-800-CHATGPT

Verge•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If GPT-4 is announced before 2025, how many parameters will it have (in billions of parameters)?

1.76k

If GPT-4 is announced before 2025, how many petaFLOPs will be used to train it?

3.95B

How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?

2.08M

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Artificial Intelligence

2016-2025 Leaderboard

OpenAI 2024 event: How to watch new ChatGPT product reveals and demos

TechCrunch•Dec 17, 2024

OpenAI 2024 event: How to watch new ChatGPT product reveals and demos

TechCrunch•Dec 19, 2024

You can now call 1-800-CHATGPT

Verge•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If GPT-4 is announced before 2025, how many parameters will it have (in billions of parameters)?

1.76k

If GPT-4 is announced before 2025, how many petaFLOPs will be used to train it?

3.95B

How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?

2.08M