MetaculusM

Question

Will Project Vesta still exist in 2030?

5

Total Forecasters32

Community Prediction32% (22% - 56%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 32%

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 26, 2020

Closes:

Jun 30, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jun 30, 2030

Stripe Climate Series

Environment & Climate

So About That Asteroid That Could Hit Earth ...

Atlantic•Feb 12, 2025

Six Space Stations That Could Replace the ISS

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

NASA video captures fresh look at 'city-destroying' asteroid - as the space agency updates the chance that it will strike Earth in 2032 yet AGAIN

Daily Mail•Feb 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

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Authors:

Opened:

Jul 26, 2020

Closes:

Jun 30, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jun 30, 2030

Stripe Climate Series

Environment & Climate

So About That Asteroid That Could Hit Earth ...

Atlantic•Feb 12, 2025

Six Space Stations That Could Replace the ISS

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

NASA video captures fresh look at 'city-destroying' asteroid - as the space agency updates the chance that it will strike Earth in 2032 yet AGAIN

Daily Mail•Feb 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch