🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

[Short Fuse] Will the Three Gorges Dam experience a partial failure before the end of September?

Resolved :No4%
24
40
Total Forecasters97
Community Prediction4% (1% - 7%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 4%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
94.3
Community Peer Score
2.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
minnow_beacon
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Environment & Climate
Technology
2020 Leaderboard
Three Gorges Dam
Deformation (engineering)

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