Question

Will Three Gorges Dam collapse and kill at least 10,000 people in 2020?

Resolved :No1%

8 comments8

Total Forecasters123

Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

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96.8

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3.9

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Authors:

DonyChristie

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Hundreds of people killed on French island after cyclone flattens entire neighbourhoods - amid fears death toll could reach 1,000

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

Death Toll Mounts—Could Reach Thousands—After Cyclone Chido Hits French Territory Of Mayotte

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

The World Bank should reconsider its mega dam project in Tajikistan

Al Jazeera•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

40%

Will there be a tsunami that kills at least 50,000 people before 2030?

14%

How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake from 2020 - 2029?

71.9k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

DonyChristie

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Hundreds of people killed on French island after cyclone flattens entire neighbourhoods - amid fears death toll could reach 1,000

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

Death Toll Mounts—Could Reach Thousands—After Cyclone Chido Hits French Territory Of Mayotte

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

The World Bank should reconsider its mega dam project in Tajikistan

Al Jazeera•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

40%

Will there be a tsunami that kills at least 50,000 people before 2030?

14%

How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake from 2020 - 2029?

71.9k

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Will Three Gorges Dam collapse and kill at least 10,000 people in 2020?

Make a Prediction

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will there be a tsunami that kills at least 50,000 people before 2030?

How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake from 2020 - 2029?

Comments

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will there be a tsunami that kills at least 50,000 people before 2030?

How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake from 2020 - 2029?

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will there be a tsunami that kills at least 50,000 people before 2030?

How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake from 2020 - 2029?

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will there be a tsunami that kills at least 50,000 people before 2030?

How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake from 2020 - 2029?