Question

When will Charity Entrepreneurship help create a new GiveWell top charity?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction2026-09-01

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2029-12-31

...

2024-04-13 02:01

2026-09-01 15:38

>2029-12-31 00:00

27.5%

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

GiveWell

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

32%

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

43.9%

How much money will GiveWell move in 2031?

273M

Comments

? comments

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

GiveWell

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Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

32%

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

43.9%

How much money will GiveWell move in 2031?

273M