Question

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?

53 comments53

Total Forecasters278

Community Prediction4% (1.5% - 8%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 4%

Authors:

Grigfall

Opened:

Aug 13, 2020

Closes:

Dec 30, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 30, 2027

Geopolitics

United States

Hugh White (strategist)

China

Inside the Trump Administration's Taiwan Debate | Opinion

Newsweek•Feb 12, 2025

Chinese Warships Approach Australian Coast After South China Sea Encounter

Newsweek•Feb 13, 2025

China is rehearsing for war, Indo-Pacific commander says

Defense One•Feb 14, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

13%

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

15%

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

50%

Comments

? comments