MetaculusM

Question

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?

34

Total Forecasters278

Community Prediction

4%

(1.5% - 8%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 4%

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 13, 2020

Closes:

Dec 30, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 30, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 14, 2020

Hugh White (strategist)

Inside China's 'Underground Great Wall' primed for WW3: How Beijing hides terrifying intercontinental missiles in vast tunnel network as 'last trump card' if nuclear war breaks out

Daily Mail•Mar 22, 2025

Taiwanese Military to Simulate 2027 Chinese Invasion

Breitbart•Mar 22, 2025

US Warns Over China's Expansion on its Doorstep

Newsweek•Mar 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 13, 2020

Closes:

Dec 30, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 30, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 14, 2020

Hugh White (strategist)

Inside China's 'Underground Great Wall' primed for WW3: How Beijing hides terrifying intercontinental missiles in vast tunnel network as 'last trump card' if nuclear war breaks out

Daily Mail•Mar 22, 2025

Taiwanese Military to Simulate 2027 Chinese Invasion

Breitbart•Mar 22, 2025

US Warns Over China's Expansion on its Doorstep

Newsweek•Mar 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch