Question

Will Stephen Bannon be found guilty of fraud?

Resolved :No

43 comments43

Total Forecasters117

Community Prediction6%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 6%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-9.1

Community Peer Score

0.9

median 6.0%mean 9.6%

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

United States District Court for the Southern District of New York

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

0.1%

Will Sam Altman be indicted before 2026?

2.5%

If Donald J. Trump is convicted in the classified documents case, how many months of imprisonment will he be sentenced to?

9.88

Comments

? comments

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

United States District Court for the Southern District of New York

Trump ally Steve Bannon blasts ‘lawfare’ as he faces New York trial after federal prison stint

Associated Press•Nov 13, 2024

Steve Bannon set for New York trial starting Feb. 25, judge rules

CBS•Nov 19, 2024

Steve Bannon's fraud trial delayed until next year

Raw Story•Nov 19, 2024

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