Question
When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
Total Forecasters1500
Community Prediction2030-05-04 (2026-10-17 - 2038-08-14)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2026 | — |
| median | 2030 | — |
| upper 75% | 2038 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2199-12-25 | 1.6% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Aug 23, 2020
Closes:Dec 24, 2199
Scheduled resolution:Dec 24, 2199
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 23, 2020
Closes:Dec 24, 2199
Scheduled resolution:Dec 24, 2199