Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

177
496
Total Forecasters1439
Community Prediction2031-12-09 (2027-07-15 - 2043-07-09)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2199-12-25
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2027-07-15 13:24
2031-12-09 03:51
2043-07-09 12:56
2.7%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Progress Essay Contest
AGI Outcomes
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Turing test
Information technology
Philosophy
Data analysis
Artificial general intelligence
Software engineering
Scuderia Ferrari

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