Question

When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

176

488 comments488

Total Forecasters1432

Community Prediction2032-07-31

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2199-12-25

...

2027-08-29 20:45

2032-07-31 06:29

2044-06-28 21:18

2.7%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Progress Essay Contest

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Turing test

Information technology

Philosophy

Data analysis

Artificial general intelligence

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When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

2027-09-29

After a (weak) AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent AI is created?

42.2

When will AI arrive?

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