Question

Will Kyle Rittenhouse be convicted of first-degree intentional homicide?

Resolved :No

99 comments99

Total Forecasters200

Community Prediction25%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

74.3

Community Peer Score

8.9

median 25.0%mean 24.2%

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Politics

Kenosha, Wisconsin

Lake County, Illinois

Antioch, Illinois

Murder

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

0.1%

When will someone first be convicted of a murder that occurred outside of Earth's atmosphere?

2079-07-09

Will President Joe Biden grant a pardon or commutation to Hunter Biden before January 21, 2025?

20%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Politics

Kenosha, Wisconsin

Lake County, Illinois

Antioch, Illinois

Murder

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Forbes•Nov 12, 2024

Richard Allen found guilty in the murders of two teens in Delphi, Indiana. What now?

USA Today•Nov 12, 2024

Jose Ibarra Waives Jury Trial in Case of Laken Hope Riley's Killing

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

0.1%

When will someone first be convicted of a murder that occurred outside of Earth's atmosphere?

2079-07-09

Will President Joe Biden grant a pardon or commutation to Hunter Biden before January 21, 2025?

20%