Question

In which year will the world's real GDP first exceed 130% of its highest level from any previous year?

39 comments39

Total Forecasters110

Community Prediction2049-02-25

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2199-12-24

...

2033-11-01 07:52

2049-02-25 21:52

2084-11-05 01:10

13.9%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Progress Essay Contest

AGI Outcomes

Economy & Business

Industrial Revolution

World Bank

Agricultural revolution

Real gross domestic product

When will we have transformative AI?

2042-04-03

In what year will world energy consumption first exceed 130% of every prior year?

2082-08-16

How many years before (or after) AGI is developed, will the world real GDP be 25% higher than every previous year for the first time?

3.43

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Progress Essay Contest

AGI Outcomes

Economy & Business

Industrial Revolution

World Bank

Agricultural revolution

Real gross domestic product

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When will we have transformative AI?

2042-04-03

In what year will world energy consumption first exceed 130% of every prior year?

2082-08-16

How many years before (or after) AGI is developed, will the world real GDP be 25% higher than every previous year for the first time?

3.43