Question

Will a legacy automaker go bankrupt before 2030?

22 comments22

Total Forecasters89

Community Prediction55% (37% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Bob_Muller

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Nissan

Electric vehicle

Internal combustion engine

Electrical engineering

The retreat from the world’s largest auto market has begun

CNN•Dec 17, 2024

Electric Vehicle Boom Is (Predictably) Out of Gas

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Honda and Nissan explore merger to navigate uncertain EV future

Verge•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

25%

What percentage of vehicles on US roads will be fully electric by 2030?

9.6

Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025?

55%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Bob_Muller

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Nissan

Electric vehicle

Internal combustion engine

Electrical engineering

The retreat from the world’s largest auto market has begun

CNN•Dec 17, 2024

Electric Vehicle Boom Is (Predictably) Out of Gas

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Honda and Nissan explore merger to navigate uncertain EV future

Verge•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

25%

What percentage of vehicles on US roads will be fully electric by 2030?

9.6

Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025?

55%