Question

Will AOC be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, 2028, or 2032?

30 comments30

Total Forecasters173

Community Prediction8% (5% - 15%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 8%

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Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Politics

Democratic Socialists of America

Democratic Party (US)

President of the US

US Congress

List of United States Democratic Party presidential tickets

2024 Elections (US)

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

AOC Loses Battle With Pelosi Over Oversight Committee Post

Newsweek•Dec 18, 2024

Ocasio-Cortez could win key seat on House Oversight Committee. Liberals should be elated.

MSNBC•Dec 13, 2024

AOC Endures Setback In Bid To Become Top House Oversight Dem

Daily Wire•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Stacey Abrams be elected president in or before the 2040 election?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

40%

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

55%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Politics

Democratic Socialists of America

Democratic Party (US)

President of the US

US Congress

List of United States Democratic Party presidential tickets

2024 Elections (US)

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

AOC Loses Battle With Pelosi Over Oversight Committee Post

Newsweek•Dec 18, 2024

Ocasio-Cortez could win key seat on House Oversight Committee. Liberals should be elated.

MSNBC•Dec 13, 2024

AOC Endures Setback In Bid To Become Top House Oversight Dem

Daily Wire•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Stacey Abrams be elected president in or before the 2040 election?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

40%

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

55%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Will AOC be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, 2028, or 2032?

Make a Prediction

Will Stacey Abrams be elected president in or before the 2040 election?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

Comments

Will Stacey Abrams be elected president in or before the 2040 election?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?