🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

10
98
196 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 140
Community Prediction2026-07-172028-05-08Nov 19Nov 23Nov 27Dec 01Dec 05Dec 09Dec 13Dec 17Dec 21Dec 25Dec 29Jan 02Jan 06Jan 10Jan 14Jan 18now

Make a Prediction

Driverless Service25thmedian75th

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CDF

2020-09-212021-06-082022-02-232022-11-102023-07-292024-04-142024-12-302025-09-172026-06-042027-02-192027-11-072028-07-242029-04-102029-12-262030-09-132031-05-312032-02-152032-11-022033-07-202034-04-062034-12-23
weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2034-12-23
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2025-07-20 22:40
2026-12-23 19:05
2028-12-31 05:12
6.6%
Opened:Sep 29, 2020
Closes:Dec 26, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Dec 26, 2034

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