Question

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?

104

200 comments200

Total Forecasters952

Community Prediction39%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 39%

median 39.0%mean 41.4%

Authors:

michaelchen

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

Li Zuocheng

People's Liberation Army

Republic of China Navy

Penghu

Kinmen

Matsu Islands

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

10%

Will China make an official statement before 2030 saying that it has disavowed use of force as a means for reunification with Taiwan?

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

michaelchen

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

Li Zuocheng

People's Liberation Army

Republic of China Navy

Penghu

Kinmen

Matsu Islands

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Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

10%