Question

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters81

Community Prediction70% (56% - 76%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

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Authors:

isaacdunn

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

United Kingdom

Labour Party (UK)

Prime Minister of the UK

Labour seems to be flailing, but keep faith: Starmer’s long-term plans are both radical and sound | Polly Toynbee

Guardian•Dec 17, 2024

Starmer should not be the fall guy for Labour’s failures. This disaster was written by committee | Owen Jones

Guardian•Dec 20, 2024

Starmer Suffers Worst Approval of Any New PM in Half Century: Poll

Breitbart•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%

Will the UK Labour Party have a female leader before 2030?

15%

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

isaacdunn

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

United Kingdom

Labour Party (UK)

Prime Minister of the UK

Labour seems to be flailing, but keep faith: Starmer’s long-term plans are both radical and sound | Polly Toynbee

Guardian•Dec 17, 2024

Starmer should not be the fall guy for Labour’s failures. This disaster was written by committee | Owen Jones

Guardian•Dec 20, 2024

Starmer Suffers Worst Approval of Any New PM in Half Century: Poll

Breitbart•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%

Will the UK Labour Party have a female leader before 2030?

15%