Question

Will Democrats win a majority in the senate in the 2020 elections?

Resolved :No

69 comments69

Total Forecasters150

Community Prediction68%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 68%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-63.6

Community Peer Score

0.3

median 68.0%mean 65.9%

Authors:

yshemesh

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest

Politics

Democratic Party (US)

2020 United States Senate elections

Doug Jones (politician)

Republican Party (US)

Donald Trump

US Senate

The Democrats’ Senate Nightmare Is Only Beginning

Atlantic•Nov 12, 2024

How Democrats Can Win Back the Senate

Newsweek•Nov 12, 2024

Despite presidential headwinds, these Senate Democratic candidates won states Harris lost

CNN•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%

Will Republicans win the most votes in the 2024 elections for the House of Representatives?

99.9%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

12.5%

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