Question

Will Democrats win a majority in the senate in the 2020 elections?

Resolved :No68%

69 comments69

Total Forecasters150

Community Prediction68% (60% - 75%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 68%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-63.6

Community Peer Score

0.3

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

yshemesh

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest

Politics

2020 Leaderboard

Democratic Party (US)

2020 United States Senate elections

Doug Jones (politician)

Republican Party (US)

Donald Trump

US Senate

After the 2024 election, Democrats are at a steep disadvantage in the Senate

•Dec 20, 2024

Democrats Didn't Do As Badly in the Election As It First Appeared. They're Still Screwed.

PJ Media•Dec 18, 2024

Trump's victory sets up fight for the House on his turf in 2026

NBC•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

15%

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

50%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

yshemesh

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest

Politics

2020 Leaderboard

Democratic Party (US)

2020 United States Senate elections

Doug Jones (politician)

Republican Party (US)

Donald Trump

US Senate

After the 2024 election, Democrats are at a steep disadvantage in the Senate

•Dec 20, 2024

Democrats Didn't Do As Badly in the Election As It First Appeared. They're Still Screwed.

PJ Media•Dec 18, 2024

Trump's victory sets up fight for the House on his turf in 2026

NBC•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

15%

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

50%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Will Democrats win a majority in the senate in the 2020 elections?

Make a Prediction

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

Comments

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?