Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will 538 outperform The Economist forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election?

Resolved :No52%
32
65
Total Forecasters115
Community Prediction52% (44% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 52%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
8.6
Community Peer Score
15.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
SimonM
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2020 Leaderboard
The Economist
2020 US presidential election
FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

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