Question
When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?
Total Forecasters117
Community Prediction2029-05-30 (2025-07-07 - 2036-12-15)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<2020-10-29 | 4.5% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 2025 | — |
median | 2029 | — |
upper 75% | 2036 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>2090-10-24 | 1.6% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Oct 26, 2020
Closes:Oct 24, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Oct 25, 2040
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 26, 2020
Closes:Oct 24, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Oct 25, 2040