Question

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters41

Community Prediction50% (40% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 50%

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Oct 27, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2035

Politics

Environment & Climate

Central Valley (California)

Plug-in hybrid

California

Automotive industry

CA Republicans urge Trump admin to fight state's attack on natural gas: 'It's sick'

FOX News•Feb 13, 2025

EPA greenlights Cali EVs

American Thinker•Feb 16, 2025

California’s Push for Electric Trucks Sputters Under Trump

New York Times•Feb 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

28.8

Will California's waiver exception under the Clean Air Act be repealed before January 1, 2027?

37%

How many states will have legally enforceable rules that are at least as stringent as Advanced Clean Cars II on January 1 of the following years?

11.4

Comments

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