Question

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

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Total Forecasters41

Community Prediction50%

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community: 50%

median 50.0%mean 49.0%

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MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

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Politics

Environment & Climate

Central Valley (California)

Plug-in hybrid

California

Automotive industry

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

Will California's waiver exception under the Clean Air Act be repealed before January 1, 2027?

37%

How many states will have legally enforceable rules that are at least as stringent as Advanced Clean Cars II on January 1 of the following years?

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Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

Environment & Climate

Central Valley (California)

Plug-in hybrid

California

Automotive industry

Blue state regulators could hike price at pump just days after election, GOP lawmakers warn

New York Post•Oct 20, 2024

California Keeps Driving Up Gas Prices With ‘Layers And Layers’ Of Green Rules And Regs

Daily Caller•Oct 23, 2024

Ex-Chrysler CEO slams Biden-Harris admin for another 'deceptively correct comment' on EVs

FOX News•Oct 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

Will California's waiver exception under the Clean Air Act be repealed before January 1, 2027?

37%