Question

Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters29

Community Prediction52%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 52%

median 52.0%mean 53.6%

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Electric vehicle battery

Lithium-ion battery

Lithium

Australia women's national soccer team

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

60.5

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

65%

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

2.82

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Electric vehicle battery

Lithium-ion battery

Lithium

Australia women's national soccer team

US and South Korea Take Steps to Reduce China's Grip on Critical Minerals

Newsweek•Nov 8, 2024

Battery-powered electric vehicle sales plunge by 25% as Australian drivers choose hybrid models

Guardian•Nov 11, 2024

As demand for lithium explodes, battery recycling startup Tozero sprints to scale with $11.7M seed

TechCrunch•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

60.5

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

65%

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

2.82