Question

Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters29

Community Prediction52% (43% - 65%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 52%

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Electric vehicle battery

Lithium-ion battery

Lithium

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What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

60.5

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

65%

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

2.82

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Electric vehicle battery

Lithium-ion battery

Lithium

Australia women's national soccer team

Tesla sales in Australia are sliding for the first time. Is it stiff competition or the Musk factor?

Guardian•Dec 7, 2024

Electric Cars Could Last Much Longer Than You Think

Wired•Dec 9, 2024

Chinese battery makers gobble up Korean firms' global market share

Korea Herald•Dec 10, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

60.5

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

65%

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

2.82